Odds Of 49ers Winning Division
- San Francisco has the seventh-best odds to win the Super Bowl next year at 14-to-1 (bet $100 to win $1,400) according to Cesars Sportsbook. The 49ers have better odds than their division-rival Seahawks (18-to-1), but are behind the Rams (13-to-1) who just swapped Matthew Stafford for Jared Goff.
- ESPN posted the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook odds for each of the 32 teams to make the Super Bowl and win their respective divisions. When it comes to the 49ers, the team's odds are set at 25-1 to win the Super Bowl. They also have 12-1 odds to take home the NFC title and 4-1 odds they take over the NFC West division.
Despite adding Brady to the division, the Saints (-130) are favorites in the NFC South and fifth in odds to win Super Bowl LV (+1100) at most sportsbooks. Brees is back for his 20th season (15th with the Saints) and New Orleans is out to put the playoff nightmares to rest.
There are five weeks remaining in the 2020 NFL season, and more than two-thirds of the teams across the league are still in the running for a playoff spot.
To determine which teams have the best chance of making the playoffs in 2020, we crunched the numbers from the most recent playoff models from three major outlets – ESPN’s FPI, Five Thirty Eight and Football Outsiders. Each team is ranked in order of their average projected chance to qualify for the playoffs. We’ve also include each divisional contender’s chance to win their respective division.
Big winners: Titans, 49ers, Washington
The Titans’ big win over the Colts boosted their playoff chances by 14 percent, while the 49ers kept themselves alive in the NFC with an upset win over the Rams. Washington’s Thanksgiving Day win over Dallas, combined with the Giants’ unfortunate injury issues with Daniel Jones, put the Football Team in a great position
Big losers: Colts, Raiders
The Colts lost control of the AFC South in a brutal divisional loss to the Titans, dropping their playoff chances by 23 percent – one of the biggest single-week swings we’ve seen all season. The Raiders’ slim hopes dropped 22 percent after Week 12, but they still have a decent chance to play into a Wild Card spot..
The following teams have either been eliminated from contention mathematically, or eliminated realistically, with playoff chances under 2 percent: The Lions (0.8%), Panthers (0.4%), Broncos (0.3%), Falcons (0.2%), Chargers (0%), Bengals (0%), Jaguars (0%) and Jets (0%).
24. Texans (4-7)Playoff percentage: 1.8%
Change from last week: UP 1.0%
Next game: vs. Colts
© Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
23. Cowboys (3-8)Playoff percentage: 8.6%
Change from last week: DOWN 11.8%
Odds Of 49ers Winning Division 2
Win division: 8.6%Next game: at Ravens
© AP Photo/David Berding
22. Patriots (5-6)Playoff percentage: 10.3%
Change from last week: UP 4.2%
Next game: at Chargers
© AP Photo/Adam Hunger
21. Bears (5-6)Playoff percentage: 21.5%
Change from last week: DOWN 9.6%
Win division: 1.9%
Next game: vs. Lions
© AP Photo/Kamil Krzaczynski
20. Vikings (5-6)Playoff percentage: 23.3%
Change from last week: UP 8.5%
Win division: 1.0%
Next game: vs. Jaguars
© AP Photo/Jim Mone
19. Eagles (3-7-1)Playoff percentage: 23.4%
Change from last week: DOWN 11.7%
Win division: 23.4%
Next game: at Packers
© Rob Carr/Getty Images
18. 49ers (5-6)Playoff percentage: 25.2%
Change from last week: UP 15.0%
Next game: vs. Bills
© AP Photo/Kelvin Kuo
17. Washington (4-7)Playoff percentage: 30.2%
Change from last week: UP 12.6%
Win division: 30.2%
Next game: at Steelers
© AP Photo/Patrick Semansky
16. Giants (4-7)Playoff percentage: 37.9%
Change from last week: UP 10.5%
Win division: 37.9%
Next game: at Seahawks
© AP Photo/Patrick Semansky
15. Raiders (6-5)Playoff percentage: 45.8%
Change from last week: DOWN 22.1%
Win division: 0.3%
Next game: at Jets
© AP Photo/Peter Joneleit
14. Dolphins (7-4)Playoff percentage: 52.6%
Change from last week: UP 14.4%
Win division: 13.9%
Next game: vs. Bengals
© Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports
13. Cardinals (6-5)Playoff percentage: 54.6%
Change from last week: DOWN 9.4%
Win division: 4.6%
Next game: vs. Rams
© AP Photo/Rick Scuteri
12. Colts (7-4)Playoff percentage: 55.1%
Change from last week: DOWN 23.0%
Win division: 15.5%
Next game: at Texans
© Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports
11. Ravens (6-5)Playoff percentage: 73.2%
Change from last week: DOWN 4.5%
Odds Of 49ers Winning Division Playoffs
Win division: 0%
Next game: vs. Cowboys
© AP Photo/Zach Bolinger
10. Browns (8-3)Playoff percentage: 73.9%
Change from last week: UP 15.2%
Next game: at Titans
© Scott Galvin-USA TODAY Sports
9. Buccaneers (7-5)Playoff percentage: 82.9%
Change from last week: DOWN 6.8%
Win division: 1.9%
Next game: BYE
© Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images
8. Rams (7-4)Playoff percentage: 92.0%
Change from last week: DOWN 3.4%
Win division: 29.3%
Next game: at Cardinals
© Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
7. Bills (8-3)Playoff percentage: 93.7%
Change from last week: UP 4.4%
Win division: 84%
Next game: at 49ers
© Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports
6. Titans (8-3)Playoff percentage: 96.1%
Change from last week: UP 14.1%
Win division: 84.1%
Next game: vs. Browns
© AP Photo/Jay LaPrete
5. Seahawks (8-3)Playoff percentage: 99.1%
Change from last week: UP 3%
Win division: 65.3%
Next game: vs. Giants
© AP Photo/Chris Szagola
4. Packers (8-3)Playoff percentage: 99.4%
Change from last week: UP 4.3%
Win division: 97.1%
Next game: vs. Eagles
© Dan Powers/Appleton Post-Crescent via USA TODAY NETWORK
3. Saints (9-2)Playoff percentage: 99.9%
Change from last week: UP 0.5%
Win division: 98.1%
Next game: at Falcons
© AP Photo/Butch Dill
2. Chiefs (10-1)Playoff percentage: 100%
Change from last week: None
Win division: 99.9%
Next game: vs. Broncos
© AP Photo/Mark LoMoglio
1. Steelers (11-0)Playoff percentage: 100%
Change from last week: None
Win division: 99.9%
Next game: vs. Washington
© AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack
© Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty ImagesFollowing their surprise 43-17 loss to Miami Dolphins in Week 5, the San Francisco 49ers are now rated as the least likely NFC West winners by oddsmakers.
This marks the first time this season that San Francisco has had the worst odds in the division, with Arizona Cardinals, Los Angeles Rams, and Seattle Seahawks all being given better chances by the sportsbooks.
The 49ers odds of winning the division from here are set at +1500, which carries an implied chance of just 6.25%.
This is in stark contrast to the odds they were given on the eve of the season; Kyle Shanahan’s men enjoyed a highly impressive season last year and were installed as frontrunners to win the division again this time around with odds of +105, which, put simply, suggested a 48.78% likelihood.
However, after going down 24-20 to the Cardinals in their first game, their odds have got worse and worse with each passing week – despite a Week 2 win against New York Jets – and they now sit at the bottom of the pile.
NFC West betting odds graphic:
Oddschecker spokesperson Pete Watt: “As the graphic outlines, the Seahawks began the year as second-favorites but have seized the initiative, going 5-0 for the first time in franchise history to run some salt in San Francisco’s wounds.”
“The NFC West appeared to be one of the most competitive divisions in the league in pre-season, with the 49ers expected to be going toe-to-toe with the Seahawks.”
“However, so far it is looking like Los Angeles will provide the greatest competition to Seattle – but it’s not over until it’s over, and there will be some optimistic Niners fans who fancy a wager on San Francisco to turn it around at odds of +1500.”